BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Story City Roland-Story

Class: 2 Class Rank: 109 Conference: Heart of Iowa Record: (17-15-0) Overall: (54-33-0) Overall Strength =   53.40

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09/04/1981 Home    W   *  51.89  27  12    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                 -3.46     18.46                      
 2 09/11/1981 Home    W * *  69.57  27   6    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto   14.21      6.79                      
 3 09/18/1981 Away    W   * 105.53  52   0    2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                 50.17      1.83                      
 4 09/25/1981 Away    W   *  86.51  55  12    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston               31.15     11.85  homecoming          
 5 10/02/1981 Home    W   * 110.44  59   0    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle               55.08      3.92                      
 6 10/09/1981 Home    W   *  54.79  24  12    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk     -0.57     12.57                      
 7 10/16/1981 Away    W   *  80.74  35   0    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         25.38      9.62                      
 8 10/23/1981 Away    W * *  75.07  20   6    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma   19.71     -5.71                      
 9 10/30/1981 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
10 11/04/1981 Away    W   *  86.91  34  16    2  20 ( 65- 11-  0) Pocahontas             31.55    -13.55                      
11 11/07/1981 Home    W   *  71.02  33  14    2 130 ( 37- 59-  0) Clarinda               15.66      3.34                      
12 11/14/1981 Neutral W   *  56.22  22  21    2 100 ( 56- 34-  0) Columbus Junction       0.86      0.14                      
13 09/03/1982 Away    W   *  85.60  47   0    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                 30.25     16.75                      
14 09/10/1982 Home    W   *  65.81  14   0    2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                 10.46      3.54                      
15 09/17/1982 Home    W   *  55.79  14   0    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston                0.44     13.56                      
16 09/24/1982 Away    W   *  90.15  40   3    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle               34.79      2.21                      
17 10/01/1982 Away    W   *  93.50  49   0    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk     38.14     10.86                      
18 10/08/1982 Home    W   *  75.02  37   6    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         19.67     11.33                      
19 10/15/1982 Home    W * *  64.36  19  14    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma    9.00     -4.00                      
20 10/22/1982 Away    W * *  63.28  19   6    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto    7.93      5.07                      
21 11/03/1982 Neutral W   *  83.50   7   0    2   3 ( 89- 12-  0) Fairbank Wapsie Vall   28.14    -21.14                      
22 11/06/1982 Neutral L   *  41.64  15  36    2  35 ( 51- 38-  1) Cedar Rapids LaSalle  -13.71     -7.29                      
23 09/02/1983 Home    W   *  61.89  37  12    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                  6.54     18.46                      
24 09/09/1983 Away    W   *  67.53  22   8    2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                 12.17      1.83                      
25 09/16/1983 Away    W   *  55.51  12   0    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston                0.15     11.85                      
26 09/23/1983 Home    W   *  53.44   8   6    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle               -1.92      3.92                      
27 09/30/1983 Home    W   *  75.79  40   7    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk     20.43     12.57                      
28 10/07/1983 Away    W   *  49.74  14  10    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         -5.62      9.62                      
29 10/14/1983 Away    W * *  62.07  14  13    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma    6.71     -5.71                      
30 10/21/1983 Home    W * *  52.57  18  14    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto   -2.79      6.79                      
31 11/02/1983 Away    L   *  41.27  12  25    2 118 ( 65- 30-  0) Griswold              -14.08      1.08                      
32 09/07/1984 Away    W   *  69.60  37   6    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                 14.25     16.75                      
33 09/14/1984 Home    W   *  65.79  24   0    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston               10.44     13.56                      
34 09/21/1984 Away    W   *  58.15  12   7    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle                2.79      2.21                      
35 09/28/1984 Away    W   *  64.50  28   8    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk      9.14     10.86                      
36 10/05/1984 Home    L   *  32.02   0  12    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard        -23.33     11.33                      
37 10/12/1984 Home    L * *  53.36   0   6    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma   -2.00     -4.00                      
38 10/19/1984 Away    L * *  29.28   0  21    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto  -26.07      5.07                      
39 10/26/1984 Home    W   *  59.81  14   6 1  2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                  4.46      3.54                      
40 11/02/1984 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
41 09/06/1985 Home    W   *  49.89  20   7    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                 -5.46     18.46                      
42 09/13/1985 Away    L   *  23.51  14  34    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston              -31.85     11.85                      
43 09/20/1985 Home    L   *  30.44   0  21    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle              -24.92      3.92                      
44 09/27/1985 Home    W   *  49.79  14   7    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk     -5.57     12.57                      
45 10/04/1985 Away    W   *  73.74  28   0    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         18.38      9.62                      
46 10/11/1985 Away    L * *  36.07   6  31    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma  -19.29     -5.71                      
47 10/18/1985 Home    W * *  54.57  18  12    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto   -0.79      6.79                      
48 10/25/1985 Away    L   *  42.53  36  47    2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                -12.83      1.83                      
49 11/01/1985 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
50 09/05/1986 Away    L   *  35.60  12  15    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                -19.75     16.75                      
51 09/12/1986 Away    L   *  46.15   7  14    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle               -9.21      2.21                      
52 09/19/1986 Away    L   *  40.50  18  22    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk    -14.86     10.86                      
53 09/26/1986 Home    W   *  80.02  36   0    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         24.67     11.33                      
54 10/03/1986 Home    L * *  45.36   0  14    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma  -10.00     -4.00                      
55 10/10/1986 Away    W * *  74.28  24   0    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto   18.93      5.07                      
56 10/17/1986 Home    L   *  40.81  19  30    2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                -14.54      3.54                      
57 10/24/1986 Home    W   *  79.79  38   0    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston               24.44     13.56                      
58 10/31/1986 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
59 09/04/1987 Home    L   *  22.89   0  14    2 350 ( 32- 55-  0) Waukee                -32.46     18.46                      
60 09/11/1987 Home    L   *  17.44   7  41    2 143 ( 50- 39-  0) Carlisle              -37.92      3.92                      
61 09/18/1987 Away    L   *  42.50   8  10    2 268 ( 41- 48-  0) Alleman North Polk    -12.86     10.86                      
62 09/25/1987 Away    W   *  66.74  21   0    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         11.38      9.62                      
63 10/02/1987 Away    L * *  20.07   7  48    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma  -35.29     -5.71  homecoming          
64 10/09/1987 Home    W * *  54.57  13   7    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto   -0.79      6.79                      
65 10/16/1987 Away    L   *  46.53   6  13    2 142 ( 49- 38-  0) Nevada                 -8.83      1.83                      
66 10/23/1987 Away    L   *  39.51  17  21    2 305 ( 30- 54-  0) Johnston              -15.85     11.85                      
67 10/30/1987 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
68 09/02/1988 Away    L   *  22.74  13  36    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard        -32.62      9.62                      
69 09/09/1988 Home    W * *  60.27  26   0    2 384 ( 36- 52-  1) Bondurant-Farrar        4.92     21.08                      
70 09/16/1988 Away    L * *  39.07  19  41    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma  -16.29     -5.71                      
71 09/23/1988 Home    W * *  66.28  25   0    2 301 ( 39- 49-  0) Woodward-Granger       10.92     14.08                      
72 09/30/1988 Away    W * *  52.85  33  18    2 362 ( 44- 50-  0) Madrid                 -2.51     17.51                      
73 10/07/1988 Home    L * *  40.57  14  22    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto  -14.79      6.79                      
74 10/14/1988 Home    L   *  30.42   7  19    2 269 ( 14- 22-  0) Gilbert-United        -24.93     12.93                      
75 10/21/1988 Away    W * *  63.92  21  20    2  38 ( 75- 22-  0) Ogden                   8.57     -7.57                      
76 10/28/1988 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
77 09/01/1989 Home    L   *  22.02   0  22    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard        -33.33     11.33                      
78 09/08/1989 Away    W * *  63.98  28   0    2 384 ( 36- 52-  1) Bondurant-Farrar        8.63     19.37                      
79 09/15/1989 Home    L * *  28.36   7  38    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma  -27.00     -4.00                      
80 09/22/1989 Away    L * *  36.99  20  26    2 301 ( 39- 49-  0) Woodward-Granger      -18.37     12.37                      
81 09/29/1989 Home    W * *  59.14  35  12    2 362 ( 44- 50-  0) Madrid                  3.78     19.22                      
82 10/06/1989 Away    L * *  40.28  14  24    2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto  -15.07      5.07                      
83 10/13/1989 Away    W   *  49.13  18  13    2 269 ( 14- 22-  0) Gilbert-United         -6.22     11.22                      
84 10/20/1989 Home    L * *  54.21   7  14    2  38 ( 75- 22-  0) Ogden                  -1.15     -5.85                      
85 10/27/1989 Home           53.40   0   0   ZZ 182 (  0-  0-  1) open                    0.00 X   27.62                      
86 08/31/1990 Home    W   *  47.03  13   8    2 285 ( 22- 55-  0) Eldora-New Providenc   -8.33     13.33                      
87 09/07/1990 Away    W   *  66.74  21   0    2 248 ( 37- 45-  0) Huxley Ballard         11.38      9.62                      
88 09/14/1990 Away    L * *  49.92   7  20    2  38 ( 75- 22-  0) Ogden                  -5.43     -7.57  Shadonix 290 yards rushing
89 09/21/1990 Home    W * *  74.27  40   0    2 384 ( 36- 52-  1) Bondurant-Farrar       18.92     21.08                      
90 09/28/1990 Away    L * *  27.07   7  41    2  45 ( 65- 29-  0) State Center West Ma  -28.29     -5.71                      
91 10/05/1990 Home    W * *  76.28  35   0    2 301 ( 39- 49-  0) Woodward-Granger       20.92     14.08                      
92 10/12/1990 Away    L * *  23.85  14  28    2 362 ( 44- 50-  0) Madrid                -31.51     17.51                      
93 10/19/1990 Home    L * *  47.57   6   7 1  2 169 ( 48- 44-  1) Jewell South Hamilto   -7.79      6.79                      
94 10/26/1990 Home    W   *  49.42  21  14    2 269 ( 14- 22-  0) Gilbert-United         -5.93     12.93                      
      Averages              53.40  18.7 12.3

Best game:  110.44 = 59 point win over Carlisle
Worst game:  17.44 = 34 point loss to Carlisle
Team stdev:  20.50